HyperOdd vs StakedHYPE

HyperOdd

HyperOdd is a leveraged prediction market platform built on Hyperliquid, designed to enable users to trade the outcomes of real-world events with up to 20x leverage using perpetual-style instruments. It is the first prediction market protocol to operate on Hyperliquid's HIP-3 permissionless perpetuals infrastructure, using the same underlying market mechanics as Hyperliquid's derivatives exchange but applied to event-outcome markets rather than asset prices. The platform covers a broad range of categories including politics, economics, cryptocurrency, sports, entertainment, and weather. How It Works HyperOdd transforms prediction market positions into leveraged perpetual contracts using Hyperliquid's HIP-3 framework. Traditional prediction markets operate on a binary 1:1 model—users buy YES or NO shares that settle at $1 or $0 based on outcome. HyperOdd replaces this with leveraged perpetuals: users can open positions with up to 20x leverage on a given outcome, meaning a $100 deposit controls $2,000 in market exposure. This fundamentally changes the capital efficiency of prediction market trading, allowing participants to express high-conviction views without committing their full notional position upfront. The protocol uses a dual oracle system tailored for the heterogeneous nature of real-world event data. For cryptocurrency-related prediction markets—such as whether a specific asset will reach a price target—HyperOdd uses the HyperCore Oracle, the native price feed system of Hyperliquid's L1. This provides extremely fast, low-cost, and highly secure price resolution for crypto events, directly sourced from Hyperliquid's own infrastructure. For arbitrary real-world events—sports outcomes, election results, economic indicators—HyperOdd integrates SEDA Protocol, a decentralized oracle network designed for arbitrary data resolution. SEDA enables permissionless data requests and verifiable on-chain computation, allowing any real-world outcome to be brought on-chain in a tamper-resistant manner. For market resolution data, HyperOdd also integrates with Polymarket, the leading prediction market by volume, pulling its market data as a trusted reference for event outcomes. This creates a layered resolution system: Polymarket provides the outcome reference, SEDA verifies and commits it on-chain, and HyperOdd's smart contracts settle positions accordingly. User experience is addressed through Privy integration for account abstraction. Users can log in using an email address, Google account, or any Web3 wallet without needing to manage private keys directly. Transactions are gasless from the user's perspective, reducing friction for users unfamiliar with wallet infrastructure. Key Features - Up to 20x Leveraged Prediction Markets: Users can trade prediction market outcomes with up to 20x leverage, dramatically increasing capital efficiency relative to traditional 1:1 prediction market designs. - HIP-3 Native Architecture: Built on Hyperliquid's permissionless perpetuals standard, allowing prediction market instruments to benefit from Hyperliquid's high-performance order matching and settlement infrastructure. - Dual Oracle System: HyperCore Oracle for crypto-native events; SEDA Protocol for arbitrary real-world events—providing both speed and versatility across diverse market categories. - Polymarket Data Integration: Resolution prices and outcome references sourced from Polymarket's established market data, providing a credible and widely-recognized benchmark for event settlement. - Account Abstraction via Privy: Keyless authentication and gasless transactions lower the barrier to entry for non-crypto-native users, making prediction markets accessible to a broader audience. Team and Backing HyperOdd was built by a team of four developers, identified on GitHub as @priom (publicly known as 0xPriom on Twitter), @luu-alex, @avkos, and @tanmoyAtb. The project originated as a submission to the Hyperliquid Community Hackathon, hosted on the TAIKAI platform, indicating it emerged from grassroots ecosystem development rather than a pre-funded venture. No institutional funding round has been disclosed. The project's testnet infrastructure (testnet.hyperodd.com) and GitHub organization (github.com/hyperodd) were operational as of early 2026, and the team announced plans to deploy on HIP-3 mainnet following the successful HIP-3 activation in late 2025. Traction and Metrics As of early 2026, HyperOdd was in private testnet phase, with mainnet deployment anticipated imminently following the official launch of HIP-3 on Hyperliquid. The protocol has not yet published TVL, volume, or user figures, as these metrics are only relevant post-launch. The SEDA Protocol publicly announced its partnership with HyperOdd for oracle services, providing a degree of external validation. The project attracted attention within the Hyperliquid community as the first application to apply HIP-3 infrastructure to prediction markets rather than traditional asset perpetuals. Competitive Position HyperOdd occupies a novel position in the intersection of two major DeFi sectors: prediction markets and leveraged derivatives. In the prediction market space, Polymarket is the dominant player globally, processing hundreds of millions in volume for major events, but Polymarket operates on Polygon and does not offer leverage. Augur, Gnosis, and various other prediction market protocols have attempted decentralized prediction markets with limited traction. HyperOdd's leverage feature is a genuine differentiation—no existing prediction market offers leveraged exposure to event outcomes in a decentralized context. In the Hyperliquid ecosystem, HIP-3 enables permissionless creation of perpetual markets for any asset or index, and HyperOdd is the first project to apply this to prediction markets specifically. The HIP-4 proposal (announced for testnet in early 2026) is expected to add native prediction market and options-style functionality to Hyperliquid itself, which could represent either a competitive threat to HyperOdd or a validation of the prediction market use case on the platform. Hyperliquid Integration HyperOdd is one of the clearest examples of HIP-3 being used for non-traditional asset perpetuals. HIP-3, activated on Hyperliquid in late 2025, enables permissionless creation of perpetual markets, allowing any team to list any underlying asset or index as a perpetual market without protocol-level approval. HyperOdd uses this infrastructure to create perpetual markets where the underlying is a prediction market outcome rather than an asset price. The HyperCore Oracle integration means that crypto-related prediction markets can settle in near-real-time using Hyperliquid's own price feeds, while SEDA's oracle extends this capability to arbitrary real-world events. The gasless and keyless UX layer is critical for bringing non-DeFi users to the platform, which aligns with Hyperliquid's broader mission of making high-performance trading accessible. Risks and Considerations HyperOdd faces several material risks. As an early-stage project originating from a hackathon, its long-term development capacity and team retention are unknown quantities. The introduction of up to 20x leverage on binary-outcome prediction markets creates extreme risk for retail participants who may not fully understand the liquidation dynamics—a 5% adverse move can wipe a leveraged position entirely, versus a binary loss in traditional prediction markets. Oracle reliability is critical: if SEDA's resolution of a real-world event is disputed or delayed, leveraged positions may be liquidated incorrectly or settlement may fail. The project's dependency on Polymarket's data as a resolution reference creates a dependency on a centralized-adjacent platform that could change data access policies. Market liquidity is likely to be thin in early stages, making leveraged positions vulnerable to slippage and manipulation. Finally, prediction markets involving political events are subject to regulatory scrutiny in multiple jurisdictions, and leveraged prediction markets may attract heightened regulatory attention compared to standard 1:1 models.

StakedHYPE

StakedHYPE is the first liquid staking protocol for HYPE, Hyperliquid's native token, deployed on HyperEVM on the day of the chain's public launch in February 2025. The protocol issues stHYPE — a liquid staking token (LST) that represents a user's staked HYPE position plus accruing validator rewards — allowing holders to maintain exposure to staking yields while retaining the ability to use stHYPE as DeFi collateral across the Hyperliquid ecosystem. Originally developed by Thunderhead Labs under founder Addison Spiegel, stHYPE was acquired by Valantis Labs in August 2025 and continues to operate under Valantis management. HOW IT WORKS Native HYPE staking occurs on HyperCore, where token holders delegate HYPE to validators who participate in Hyperliquid's Proof-of-Stake consensus. However, native staking locks tokens in the staking account during the delegation period, making them unavailable for DeFi use. StakedHYPE solves this illiquidity problem through a standard liquid staking wrapper. When a user deposits HYPE into the StakedHYPE protocol on HyperEVM, they receive stHYPE at a ratio that starts at 1:1 and increases over time as validator rewards accumulate. The protocol distributes staked HYPE across a curated set of high-performance validators, optimizing for reward yield and operational reliability. Validator rewards — paid in HYPE by the Hyperliquid protocol — flow back into the pool and are reflected in the rising exchange rate between stHYPE and HYPE. This means stHYPE is a rebasing-free accumulating token: holders do not see their token count increase, but each stHYPE becomes redeemable for more HYPE over time. stHYPE is an ERC-20 token on HyperEVM, making it composable with the full suite of HyperEVM DeFi protocols. Users can deposit stHYPE as collateral in lending protocols, provide it as liquidity in DEX pools, or hold it passively to earn staking yields without any active management. Unstaking involves a redemption process subject to the underlying HyperCore unbonding period. KEY FEATURES - First-Mover LST on HyperEVM: stHYPE launched on day one of HyperEVM, establishing first-mover network effects across integrations and DeFi protocols before competitors could deploy - Decentralized Validator Distribution: HYPE is distributed across a network of high-performance validators rather than concentrated in a single operator, reducing single-point-of-failure risk - DeFi Composability: stHYPE is accepted as collateral and liquidity across all major HyperEVM protocols including lending platforms, AMM pools, and yield aggregators - Accumulating Token Model: stHYPE appreciates in HYPE terms automatically without rebasing, simplifying accounting for integrated protocols - Valantis-Backed Infrastructure: Following acquisition, stHYPE benefits from Valantis's specialized LST DEX pools — the two largest DEX pools on HyperEVM by TVL, with over $500M in cumulative volume TEAM AND BACKING StakedHYPE was founded by Addison Spiegel through his company Thunderhead Labs. Spiegel launched the protocol on HyperEVM's first day and rapidly grew it to peak TVL of approximately $500M — a remarkable achievement for a day-one DeFi deployment on a nascent chain. In August 2025, Valantis Labs acquired the stHYPE protocol for an undisclosed sum. Valantis, a modular DEX protocol, integrated stHYPE into its core product strategy, leveraging specialized LST-focused liquidity pools. Spiegel joined Valantis as an advisor following the acquisition. Valantis is led by co-founder and CEO Deven Matthews, who has publicly articulated a vision to build stHYPE into a "liquidity network for all of Hyperliquid." The acquisition price and financial structure were not disclosed, and no investment bank or legal advisor names were released due to contractual restrictions. TRACTION AND METRICS StakedHYPE launched on February 18, 2025, concurrent with HyperEVM's public debut. It rapidly became the dominant liquid staking solution on the chain, accumulating approximately $500M in TVL at its peak — at that time representing a substantial share of all HyperEVM DeFi TVL. By the time of the Valantis acquisition in August 2025, TVL had settled to approximately $200M, reflecting broader market conditions and competition from secondary LST protocols such as Kinetiq (kHYPE). Valantis's LST-specific DEX pools for stHYPE and kHYPE represented the two largest DEX pools on HyperEVM, with approximately $60M in combined TVL and over $500M in cumulative trading volume as of August 2025. stHYPE has been integrated into virtually every major HyperEVM DeFi protocol, including lending markets, yield aggregators, and AMM pools, demonstrating its status as core infrastructure rather than an isolated product. HyperEVM as a whole had grown to over $2 billion in TVL across approximately 100 protocols by August 2025, making it one of the fastest-growing EVM chains since its February launch — context in which stHYPE's $200M TVL represents a meaningful portion of chain activity. COMPETITIVE POSITION StakedHYPE's principal competitor is Kinetiq (kHYPE), which has emerged as the second-largest HYPE LST on HyperEVM. Both protocols compete for staked HYPE deposits by offering similar base functionalities: liquid staking derivatives redeemable for validator rewards. stHYPE's competitive advantages include first-mover integrations — being embedded in every major protocol before competitors arrived — and Valantis's specialized DEX infrastructure optimized for LST pair pricing efficiency. In the broader liquid staking context, stHYPE's position mirrors Lido's dominance of Ethereum staking (stETH) — a liquid token representing the canonical staking derivative for the chain's native asset, with deep DeFi integrations that make it the default choice. However, unlike Ethereum's staking ecosystem where Lido has held over 30% of all staked ETH, HYPE staking is newer and more fragmented, leaving competitive dynamics unsettled. The Valantis acquisition provides stHYPE with product and distribution advantages that independent protocols cannot easily replicate — specifically, a purpose-built DEX optimized for staked asset pairs. HYPERLIQUID INTEGRATION StakedHYPE connects HyperCore's staking layer with HyperEVM's DeFi ecosystem. HYPE tokens are transferred from HyperCore accounts to HyperEVM via Hyperliquid's native bridge, deposited into the StakedHYPE contract, and delegated to HyperCore validators — creating a cross-layer architecture unique to Hyperliquid's dual-layer design. The stHYPE token then circulates on HyperEVM as a standard ERC-20 asset. Valantis has indicated plans to deepen stHYPE's integration with HyperCore and HIP-3, envisioning stHYPE as a component of a broader Hyperliquid liquidity network. This could involve stHYPE being used as margin collateral in future HIP-3 perp market deployments or as a reference asset for new DeFi primitives. The Hyperliquid team's emphasis on staking tiers as a mechanism for validator differentiation may also create opportunities for stHYPE to offer tiered yield products. RISKS AND CONSIDERATIONS Validator concentration risk is inherent: if any validator to which stHYPE's underlying HYPE is delegated behaves maliciously, it faces slashing — which would reduce the stHYPE exchange rate and impose losses on depositors. The protocol's validator selection and diversification methodology is critical to managing this risk, though specific slashing parameters on Hyperliquid are determined by the core protocol. The acquisition by Valantis changes stHYPE's governance and strategic trajectory in ways that are not fully transparent to users. While Valantis is a credible team, the undisclosed deal structure and the fact that ongoing development is now tied to Valantis's broader roadmap introduces dependency risk. If Valantis changes strategic priorities or faces financial difficulties, stHYPE's development could stall. Smart contract risk on HyperEVM is present across all deposited capital. HyperEVM is a relatively young chain, and the full security implications of its architecture have not been tested by years of adversarial activity at scale. Users depositing HYPE into stHYPE accept both the validator slashing risk at the HyperCore layer and the smart contract risk at the HyperEVM layer simultaneously.

Choose HyperOdd if you...

• ✓Want a prediction markets solution on HIP-3
• ✓Need features like prediction-markets and leverage
• ✓Need: First leveraged prediction market on Hyperliquid — up to 20x

Choose StakedHYPE if you...

• ✓Want a liquid staking solution on HyperEVM
• ✓Prefer a verified and vetted protocol
• ✓Need features like liquid-staking and stHYPE
• ✓Need: stHYPE liquid staking — stake HYPE, stay liquid